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65-Day Academy · Day 61 · Method & Backtesting

The Metrics That Matter — Return, Risk, Risk-Adjusted

3 min read · Market basics

Return metrics

Total return (day 19) and CAGR (the smoothed annual rate). Both are meaningless without their risk context: +30% with −50% drawdowns is a different animal than +20% with −8% drawdowns — and the second compounds better (day 32's recovery asymmetry).

Risk metrics

Max drawdown (depth), time-underwater (duration), volatility (standard deviation). Sharpe ratio = (return − risk-free) ÷ volatility: return per unit of bumpiness — the standard comparison metric (>1 good, >2 excellent, but beware Sharpe computed on smoothed/faked data). Sortino: like Sharpe but penalizing only DOWNSIDE volatility — closer to what investors actually fear.

The trading-specific set

Expectancy per trade (day 31), win rate + average R multiple, profit factor (gross wins ÷ gross losses; >1.5 healthy, >2 strong), and plan fidelity (day 59). A dashboard of these six tells you more about a trading operation than any single return number — and the journal (day 38) is where they live.

What you'll practise

Strategy A: +22% return, 18% max drawdown. Strategy B: +18% return, 7% max drawdown. Which has the better return/drawdown ratio?

15 XP in the app · intermediate

Sources

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All lessons are for educational purposes only and are not individualized financial advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Options involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor.